Posts Tagged ‘Renewable energy’

5th Truth about Climate Change: Global Warming is accelerating more than it looks like

25 July 2012

In our last post about the 4th Climate Change truth we defined the anthropocentric causes of Global Warming; in this one we will offer you some facts that will aloud you to understand how climate change is accelerating and why, if nothing is done, temperature could reach an incremental 5ºC by the end of this century and how, this increase in global warming will produce relevant impacts on our planet.

The measurements of increasing CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere show that, if we keep our production and consumption as usual, we will trespass the 450ppm CO2 concentration by 2040. Hawaii’s Mauna Loa observatory, one of the world references in CO2 measurement, registered a concentration as high as 396,78ppm in May2012. The highest ever known in 800.000 years.

The global warming observed between 1960 and 2009 shows that average land surface temperature is already between 1ºC and 2ºC above average in big zones of Canada and Russia. But more worrisome is the Artic area, where land surface temperature has being increase between 4ºC and 4.1ºC. Nobody seems surprised by the fact that the Arctic Ocean is now navigable in summer.

Human activity is accelerating its pressure over Earth system , as reflected by the GEO5, UNEP report; we are reaching thresholds that once surpassed could “generate abrupt and may be irreversible changes in the functions that support life in this planet”; the first cause is increase in population, by 2030 we will be more than 8000 millions, a 20% increase.  The second cause is consumption; purchasing power of middle classes will increase by 172% in the next 18 years. The third cause is our inefficient use and irresponsible waste of our Planet resources, human ecological footprint will increase in 33% and we will have lost 55% more of the Amazon forests. This phenomenon will rocket the net generation of electricity by 84%. 65% of the actual energy mix is based in coal and oil; thus, CO2 emissions from energy production will increase in 20% in the next 20 years.

What we will see, if urgent measures are not put in place, will be an acceleration of the already fast changes in Climate that has taken place in the last 30 years. Media is starting to register each day more frequently this symptoms:

Unabated Global Warming to Accelerate Melting of Greenland Ice Sheet:   Scientists from the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) and the Universidad Complutense de Madrid warned in their report that the vast Greenland ice sheet could have been thinning at an alarming faster rate and reversing that trend may prove difficult.

The World Meteorological Organization’s (WMO) Annual Statement on the Status of the Global Climate confirms 2011 as 11th warmest on record. Climate change accelerated in 2001-2010, according to preliminary assessment. WMO said that 2011 was the 11th warmest since records began in 1850.

U.S. Sees Hottest 12 Months And Hottest Half Year On Record: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Calls It A One In 1.6 Million Event. During the second half of June led to at least 170 all-time high temperature records broken or tied. The result is one of the worst droughts ever seen in the US.

Pace of Global Warming Accelerating Dramatically in US  A new report published by Climate CentralThe Heat is On, shows that the pace of global warming in the US has accelerated dramatically in the past 40 years.

Just a few days ago, the  Financial Times, non-suspicious for environmental alarmism, published a brief article on: Freak weather linked to global warming. The issue is that it is really uncommon to see articles that link extreme weather events to global warming in the media. Let’s hope for a regain of trust in scientific evidence.

Our next post, coming soon: Sixth truth about Climate Change. It will give you a brief overview about the dramatic effects of global warming.

Riominus20 – Chapter 3: The Legacy

9 July 2012

Two days after the Río+20 summit came to a close, on 24 June, news of the event barely took up four paragraphs in the Santiago de Chile daily “El Mercurio” and failed to make the pages of the International Herald Tribune. Ten days later, media interest in Rio+20 has all but disappeared, apart from an incident involving some crafty Rio de Janeiro villains who made off with money and documents belonging to Niger’s Education delegate. She was prevented from boarding her flight home and she’s still at a loose end in Rio enjoying the hospitality of a local translator. For its part, Rio’s foremost daily and Brazil’s number two in circulation terms, “O Globo”, held on 3 July a seminar on “Rio+20: The Legacy”, with Brazil’s Environment Minister, Ms. Isabella Teixeira, as guest speaker.

But what kind of legacy has Rio+20 left behind? The following five issues might point us in the right direction:
The first part of this Legacy that we need to look at is our own perception of the phenomenon: Rio+20 has come to represent the consecration of a certain type of narrative on sustainability:

Media are neither innocuous nor neutral where climate change is concerned and, possibly influenced by the parallel forum, the so-called “People’s Summit”, held on the other side of Rio and which called into question the role of business as a provider of sustainable development solutions, the media mirrored discontent and ire in statements such as “Rio summit closes among criticism for the weak accord without clear and measurable targets”; “failure for want of ambition”; leaders “did not take on the responsibility to impose actions, targets and schedules”; the result is “an abstract document far-removed from reality”, and so on.

The role of the media is not being taken into account in the perception and the speed required for change. In response to O Globo, Rajendra Pachauri pointed out that “a change in perception, priorities and direction is called for”. This process of change requires a huge communication effort in which media cannot be content to stand in the wings. Basically, some media appear to be more concerned with dishing up controversy than presenting the cold facts, and this favors the climate change negationist fraternity, as pointed out in the recently published “The Inquisition of Climate Science” which deals with the role of the media in the face of climate change.
Legacy number two comes in the shape of the progress made thus far. We can safely say that Rio+20 was definitely not a place for people who like jumping to conclusions, but, nonetheless, conclusions there were, namely:

In the first place, Rio+20 gives us an overall document which, in the words of the WBCSD’s new Chairman, Peter Bakker “confirms that the world still has a platform for seeking out shared solutions”. He goes on to say that “had it not been so, it would have been extremely hard to convey a message underscoring the urgent need for sustainability and the changes required”. We’re making progress but, to paraphrase Bakker, “surmounting a global emergency by means of a multilateral process, which involves getting 193 countries to agree on a text, is something from which we cannot expect miracles”. As UN Secretary-General Ban Ki Moon said only a few days ago “this agreement is a triumph of multilateralism”.

Thirdly, Rio+20 acknowledges and calls on companies to play a relevant role in achieving Sustainable Development, and highlights three aspects of the contribution that can be made by the business community: innovation, collaboration agreements and advising governments with recommendations on policy decisions, as explained in the Global Compact document “Overview & Outcomes” on the conclusions of the Corporate Sustainability Forum, an event held just days after the official Rio summit. This second legacy, however, turns out to be a double-edged sword: although it recognizes the private sector’s capacities and resources for innovation, collaboration and policy recommendations and puts the onus of responsibility for them on companies, there is no sign of companies’ official capability to influence those policies and regulatory frameworks, without which any recommendation is just a waste of breath.

In the fourth place, the clear overlap of the Rio summit’s three relevant final documents: The Future we Want, the official document signed by heads of state; Overview & Outcomes, the document that emerged from the Global Compact Corporate Sustainability Forum and, undoubtedly representative despite coming out prior to the summit, the WBCSD’s Changing Pace. All three of them, using more or less decorative prose, call for and acknowledge the need for urgent action on climate change and the private sector’s relevant role, and stress the importance of listening to all the parties involved in arriving at policies aimed at implementing measures. This overlap takes the focus off private sector participation and directs it at Sustainable Development. It would be a good thing if these organizations were to work together and coordinate their efforts (they are, after all, the first ones to call for such efforts) and thus gain in efficiency.

Fifth, Rio+20 leaves us with the feeling that the call for collaboration between governments, companies and civil society and the trend among the more forward-thinking companies* to adopt initiatives and not expect too much in the way of major accords, is swelling its ranks and more quickly than appearances would have us believe, with more and more companies and organizations getting directly involved in sustainable development. In recent years, the number of companies with Sustainability strategies in place has grown four-fold. And so we come away from Rio+20 with the feeling that we could be on the verge of a sea-change and that there is hope for a real shift.

*In this case “progressive companies” are those which have committed to and defend a certain way of doing business and are convinced of the need to take into account social and environmental factors when it comes to exercising their responsibility, and which actively and publicly participate in favor of policy changes aimed at fighting climate change, ensuring a carbon-free economy and striving for a planet fit for future generations.

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Riominus20 – Chapter2

9 July 2012

This chapter concludes this brief look at the salient points of “The Future we Want”, the outcome document adopted at Rio+20:

47. Companies: the original document encouraged mandatory corporate reporting on Sustainability; the outcome document, however, merely acknowledges its importance.

84-85. Creation of a high-level forum: This is a step forward; at the Brazil summit the Sustainable Development Committee was not at the ministerial level. From now on, environment talks will be held at the political level rather than a technical one.

88. On the role of the UNEP: The UNEP will not become an independent agency, as initially requested, but some diplomats say that in the future it will go from the current 52 members to membership of all of the UN member-states, and that, although it is currently financed through donations, it will have its own budget set by the UN.

104: To ensure current commitments stemming from prior Sustainable Development summits, the original document called on countries to reduce the existing gaps regarding implementation; in the end, no specific actions on current sector-targets were decided.

139. Health: Call for steps to ensure universal health coverage. This coverage is referred to in the outcome document but the latter talks of its “importance” and makes no mention to health coverage as a “right”.

158. Oceans: Originally called for protection for the diversity of the high seas and international waters, as well as restrictions on fishing subsidies. The final draft mentions restrictions on subsidies. However, the intended reference to protection of biodiversity was removed at the last minute following pressures from Venezuela, USA, Canada, Japan and Russia.

193. Forests: The document originally referred to the conservation of forests and the fight on deforestation as one of the ways of achieving sustainable development. It was understood that through this recommendation, governments and international organizations would draw up concrete steps for reforestation. The final document recognizes that is important to deal with the issue but fails to list the appropriate forums.

238. Women: The document originally mentioned “women’s reproductive rights”. The final draft of the outcome document omitted the mention that in some countries the reference was to the right of abortion. The chairperson of the Global Fund for Women, Musimbi Kanyoro, spoke out against pressures from The Vatican to omit the expression “women’s reproductive rights”, which was finally left out. We cannot forget that the world population is on the rise and that, consequently, there is an increasingly greater demand for resources. These are two of the main factors behind Climate Change.

And finally, points 130 and 225. Energy: Although we’ve covered this issue previously, it’s worth stressing that perhaps as a result of pressures from OPEC member states, one of the critical issues, namely the elimination of fossil fuel subsidies, warrants no more than a paragraph and is banished to the Consumer section (22) when, by rights and according to logic, it should be included in the Energy section (130).
In the original document, in section 130 it was stated that “we recognize the need for further action to rationalize and phase out subsidies”. In the final document, however, it was replaced by “countries reaffirm the commitments they have made to phase out”. In other words, we go from recognizing the need to take steps, to countries reaffirming the commitments that they have undertaken.

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Is it possible to double the share of renewable energy in the global energy mix? Rio+20-June16

Is it possible to double the share of renewable energy in the global energy mix? Rio+20-June16

16 June 2012

Sustainable Energy for All

We  participated today in the session: Double share of Renewable Energy in the Global Energy Mix to achieve Sustainable Energy for all.

Sustainable Energy  for All” is the  Secretary General Ban Ki Moon initiative, whose goals are: ensuring universal access to modern energy  services by 2030; doubling  the  global rate of improvement in energy efficiency by 2030; and doubling the share of  renewable energy  in the global energy mix by 2030.

How to double  this share is our  topic today.

It is  a privilege to be in the Global Compact Corporate Sustainability Forum, and to have the opportunity to share our vision on how to double the renewable energy percentage in the global energy mix.

I consider five key  issues to make this possible:

First: renewable energy is a capital intensive business, disbursement of investment capital is make effective all in year 0. On the cost side, along with the operating costs you are paying financial costs for twenty years. The revenues came from three factors, PPA’s (power purchase agreement) FITs (Feed in Tariff) and the Load Factor (ratio between operating hours of your facility and the 8760 yearly hours). To  function properly, this model needs stability.

The first condition to double the renewable energy percentage in the global energy mix is a minimum regulatory framework. To maintain a positive evolution and investment stimulus it is necessary a degree of stability, predictability and long-term orientation on policy that is nonexistent today.

Second: A necessary step to advance is to gradually remove subsidies to fossil fuels so as to achieve a real competitive market reflecting the real prices of all technologies.

In the  document The future we want”, which is being  discussed now in  Rio, and is meant to be the official document to  be signed by  chiefs of state in the  next days;  in the  Section V: Framework for  action, in the  ENERGY section, #6 in a shy manner but clearly, is stated that fossil fuels subsidies inhibit  sustainable development.

Third: The implementation success of the different measures have to take place during the present decade, otherwise, the negative effects would be very difficult to reverse. One of them is to lock-in the  GHG emissions trajectory. The last  measures of the Mauna Loa  observatory (April 2012) registered more  than  393ppm’s of  CO2 in the  atmosphere. We are in close danger  to  surpass the  450ppm’s goal for 2050.

Fourth: there are still 1,5 billion people in the world without access to electricity and it is Goverments and Leader Business Companies who have the responsibility of reducing this number down to the minimum. Distributed energy systems out of renewable energy are part of the solution to provide electricity to this rural areas, isolated from the grid.

Fifth: we need a stable and supporting regulatory framework that combines utilities and distributed energy in urban areas. Smart grids and fully  integrating renewable energy are the right path to take. Of course, this will require a considerable investment which, in the long term will imply cost savings, improving energy  efficiency and security  of supply and last but not least, reducing costs and GHG emissions.

10 reasons to support renewable energy

20 September 2011

Debate over the energy model can constantly be heard on the street: advantages and disadvantages of gas, coal and oil, the nuclear controversy, the viability of renewables… Among the torrents of arguments, here are 10 to that explain the vital role of clean energies within a sustainable economic model.


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